When you factor in damage wraths, exile wraths, bounce wraths, and the more niche cards too
However you choose to do it, the end result will be a board full of worryingly large Insects, with Mazireks flying ability suddenly becoming a huge problem for your opponents as it crashes in for commander damage
Both versions are equally playable in tournaments
(In fact, weve so far already implicitly assumed some rudimentary player strategy: namely that if we can play a land, we do so.) If we're to account for all these different factors, its going to be practically impossible to get an analytical answer, i.e., an answer in the form of a neat little formula like the distribution function of the binomial or hypergeometric distribution
This also crossovers into the deck building as you have to factor in how to stop this